Fram á síðustu stundu : a statistical analysis on Fram Football Club´s 2022 season

Abstract

This study looked at the 2022 season for Fram Football Club in Besta Deildin, the top tier of Icelandic club football. It sought to explain why Fram kept dropping points in the final 15 minutes of matches. This two-part study first aimed to establish the existence of the problem, by analysing goal timing distribution in the whole league and comparing it to Fram. The second part of the study aimed to analyse what the cause of the problem might be, which was done by looking at certain performance indicators in distinct parts of the game. From the 1st minute to the 75th minute and from the 76th minute to full-time to compare the performance in those two parts. This study found that Fram goalscoring in the final 15 minutes was significantly different from their expected value. The causes of the problem remain unclear even though the results of the second part of this study may hold some clues. For further research, a more comprehensive approach is needed, considering more possible contributing factors than was done in this study.